Gauteng could face a more severe third wave of coronavirus infections than it did in the second surge, reported Business Day (3 May 2021) According to the latest worst-case scenarios modelled by a consortium of experts co-ordinated by the National Institute of Communicable Diseases (NICD) SA as a whole is likely to experience a third wave that peaks below the second, provided there are no new variants.

Gauteng, is projected to peak at a higher level in the third wave than it did in the second, due to the province’s higher concentration of working-age adults and people with comorbidities, and its relatively low proportion of people who have previously been infected with the disease compared to other provinces.

The Free State and North West could potentially fare worse in the next surge, depending on how individual behaviour and government restrictions affect transmission.

*Meanwhile Minister Dr Zweli Mkhize said the government is on “high alert” for the Covid-19 variant circulating in India. The ministerial advisory committee (MAC) will advise the government on how to handle travel from countries where “variants of concern” were prevalent. Currently, there are no direct  flights from India and strict containment procedures are in place to minimise the importation of Covid-19.


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